Friday, November 27, 2009

Lawro - week 14


 
 
Standings:

13 weeks played, 125 matches
8-5 to Tarquin

Lawro - 65 right, 13 perfects - 37 points
Tarquin - 66 right, 11 perfects - 39 points


Aston Villa V Tottenham
Aston Villa v Tottenham

Villa are the better side, and Spurs aren't that convincing away from home

Lawro: 2-1
Tarquin: 2-1


Blackburn v Stoke
Blackburn v Stoke

Don't see much in this, I'd favour a home win, but I'll go for a tight, goalless draw

Lawro: 1-1
Tarquin: 0-0


Fulham v Bolton
Fulham v Bolton

Fulham should be too strong at home


Lawro: 2-0
Tarquin: 2-0


Manchester City v Hull
Man City v Hull


City will surely end that streak of draws




Verdict: 2-0
Tarquin: 3-0



Portsmouth v Manchester United
Portsmouth v Man Utd

Pompey deserve to lose after the disgraceful manoeuvring of Grant, United should be able to handle anything this lot throw at them, but I don't think it'll be pretty United rarely are any more

Lawro: 0-2
Tarquin: 0-1


West Ham v Burnley
West Ham v Burnley

Pressure's on the Hammers here, they should win, but you never know...

Lawro: 2-0
Tarquin: 1-0


Wigan v Sunderland
Wigan v Sunderland

I hear Bent may be out, that's big for Wigan who've been pretty good at home

Lawro: 2-1
Tarquin: 2-0


SUNDAY
Arsenal v ChelseaArsenal v Chelsea

Hard to call - you know it's the draw



Lawro: 1-1
Tarquin: 1-1


Everton v Liverpool
Everton v Liverpool


Heh, 'miseryside derby' - I think Liverpool have to win this, especially considering Everton's frailties right now..but local derbies are not predictable




Lawro: 1-1
Tarquin: 0-1



Wolves v Birmingham
Wolves v Birmingham


I think Wolves might be able to carve something out here



Lawro: 2-1
Tarquin: 1-0

Sunday, November 22, 2009

Beat Lawro week 13








Liverpool 2-2 Man City

Lawro: 1-0 = -1
Tarquin: 1-1 = 2



Birmingham 1-0 Fulham

Lawro: 2-1 = 1.5
Tarquin: 0-0 = -1


Burnley 1-1 Aston Villa
 
Lawro: 0-2 = -1
Tarquin: 1-2 = -1
 


Chelsea 4-0 Wolves

Lawro: 2-0 = 1
Tarquin: 3-0 = 1


Hull 3-3 West Ham

Lawro: 2-1 = -1
Tarquin: 1-0 = -1


Sunderland 1-0 Arsenal

Lawro: 1-1 = -1
Tarquin: 2-2 = -1


Man Utd 3-0 Everton

Lawro: 2-1 = 1
Tarquin: 1-0 = 1
 



Bolton 0-2 Blackburn
 
Lawro: 2-1 = -1
Tarquin: 1-0 = -1


Tottenham 9-1 Wigan

Ok, so who got that one?

Lawro: 2-0 = 1
Tarquin: 2-0 = 1


Stoke 1-0 Portsmouth
 
Lawro: 2-1 = 1.5
Tarqiun: 1-0= 3!


Lawro got 5 right, NO perfect scores = 1 point

Tarquin got 5 right, One perfect score = 3 points


Woop....three points!


Standings:

13 weeks played, 125 matches
8-5 to Tarquin

Lawro - 65 right, 13 perfects - 37 points
Tarquin - 66 right, 11 perfects - 39 points

Friday, November 20, 2009

Beat Lawro week 13






It's all perfectly level at the moment, both of us hoping to make up for some recent poor performances

Standings:

12 weeks played, 115 matches
7-5 to Tarquin

Lawro - 60 right, 13 perfects - 36 points
Tarquin - 61 right, 10 perfects - 36 points


Liverpool v Man City
Liverpool v Man City (KO 1245 GMT)

Ah, nothing like a nice two-week rest that we call 'international friendlies' for the boy Stevie - Liverpool should go into this fired up, but they remain unconvincing, and City haven't left a league game untied since September, so I'm hedging on yet another draw for City (although six in a row must be somewhat unlikely)

Lawro: 1-0
Tarquin: 1-1 

Birmingham v Fulham

Birmingham v FulhamBirmingham have the lowest home goal record of any team, and also the best home defence after Chelsea - Fulham, despite a clear lack of clean sheets aren't conceding too many away from home, so this one is looking tight to me

Lawro: 2-1 
Tarquin: 0-0 

Burnley v Aston Villa
Burnley v Aston Villa

Turf Moor is a nasty place to go - but we all know the team that love a good away game, the speed and pace of Villa should deal with the ultimately less-talented Burnley side, I think it could be a good battle though

Lawro: 0-2
Tarquin: 1-2 

Chelsea v Wolves
Chelsea v Wolves

You know, Chelsea haven't drawn at all this season, and they go into this game without Lampard, Cashley and Bosingwa - and Drogba and Ballack remain doubtful...if ever there was a chance for a slip up...

But it's Wolves...some might say that's fortunate timing, as Chelsea's reserves, led by Terry should still swat them away - but don't say I didn't warn you

Lawro: 2-0
Tarquin: 3-0 

Hull v West Ham
Hull v West Ham


I don't know where Lawro gets his information, but it looks like Carlton Cole will return for this bottom of the table clash, and they beat Villa without him didn't they? Well, regardless, it's West Ham and they haven't won on the road since the opening fixture at Wolves, Hull have to be favourites

Lawro: 2-1
Tarquin: 1-0

Sunderland v Arsenal
Sunderland v Arsenal
I don't see this being easy for the Gunners, they are hardly a force on the road, and with no RVP and a leaky defence I can see Sunderland taking advantage - Viv Anderson is going for the home win, but I'm sticking to a draw

Lawro: 1-1
Tarquin: 2-2 

Man Utd v Everton
Man Utd v Everton (KO 1730 GMT)

I think Everton are still too rickety to mount much of a challenge to United, it won't be easy, but I think United are just too big a favourite here

Lawro: 2-1
Tarquin: 1-0 

SUNDAY
Bolton v Blackburn
Bolton v Blackburn

Burnley are now better on the road than Blackburn, who have five played, five lost, and just three goals scored, while Bolton have showed they are pretty decent at home, unless the 'Big Sam factor' comes into play (and why would it with all of 6 fans in attendance?)

Lawro: 2-1
Tarquin: 1-0 

Tottenham v Wigan
Tottenham v Wigan

Wigan have managed a few surprise victories this season, notably at Villa and Burnley, but Tottenham should be reasonable favourites at home

Lawro: 2-0
Tarquin: 2-0 

Stoke v Portsmouth
Stoke v Portsmouth (KO 1600 GMT)

Stoke, I don't see how Pompey, the lowest scoring team in the league, could do much at the Britannia fortress 


Lawro: 2-1
Tarqiun: 1-0

Wednesday, November 18, 2009

Some new faces

So the World Cup teams are all but settled

Who will be the seeds? Well assuming the hosts will be seeded once again (South Africa are 1st in group A already) then there are only 7 real seeds:

Brazil, Spain, Netherlands, Italy, Germany, Argentina, England

The only real risk is England (as usual) - the threat is from France, and quite frankly after their antics against Ireland I would be sick to my stomach if they got a top spot as well, so they probably will - it depends if our latest defeat to Brazil and their questionable win over Ireland matter enough - I'm sure someone can work it out, but we'll find out on Friday

Teams that also entered 2006:

Brazil, Spain, Netherlands, Italy, Germany, Mexico, Argentina, England, Australia, Ivory Coast, Ghana, Paraguay, Portugal, Switzerland, Japan, Korea, US, Serbia (-Montenegro), France  (19)

New teams:

South Africa (2002), N. Korea (1966), Denmark (2002), Chile (1998), Slovakia (first time), Honduras (1982), New Zealand (1982), Slovenia (2002), Nigeria (2002), Cameroon (2002), Algeria (1986), Greece (1994), Uruguay (2002) (13)

Only one team making their début in 2010 then, compared to eight in Germany - meaning that roughly 80 teams have now made it to a world cup finals, out of over 200 members in FIFA (although a few don't exist any more - hence 'rough') - this is in fact the first time that so few newbies have entered since believe it or not, England was the only débutante back in 1950 (and even then Slovakia is considered a joint successor of Czechoslovakia by FIFA - so there's essentially no new teams)

Teams that failed to qualify for a consecutive appearance:

Angola, Ecuador, Tunisia, Togo, Croatia, Czech Rep, Poland, Sweden, Ukraine, Costa Rica, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Trinidad and Tobago

4th December here we come...

Monday, November 16, 2009

France are the best team where?

I had to go over to the Telegraph to find the story about Fergie having to speak to the BBC (and even then I had to do a google search - brilliant site layout there), I don't like doing it and yet again I remember why as I click on the sole article that piqued my interest

It was a harmless (but pointless) debate about Brazil exposing England

Mike Norrish happily admits that a friendly against Brazil featuring two players out of our probable first-team hardly means anything, but then somehow it justifies analysis of England's hopes, talk about hype for the sake of hype

But this really narked me:

But France, the best team of the last 10 years, beat [England] 1-0

What.the.f***

That'd be France, who are currently ranked ninth and had to enter the play-offs from a group that featured Serbia as their only real threat

The same France that came last in their group at Euro 2008 and scored a sum total of one goal

France have at one point been the top ranked side in the world - between May 2001 and May 2002, right after their victory in Euro 2000

But then what happened after May 2002? That's right, a goalless exit from the World Cup

Meanwhile Brazil, currently ranked at number one, have spent about seven of the last ten years at that position, including a five year consecutive stint after 'Les Bleus'

I am of course ignoring the more successful Euro 2004 and 2006 World Cup, in which they reached the quarter finals and final respectively

Ignoring the petulant facts that they lost to Greece in 2004, and only got past Portugal with a dodgy penalty in the semis in 2006, and indeed only won in 2000 thanks to the short-lived golden goal I will grant that they were pretty decent results

Euro 2000: Champions
2002: round 1: bottom (automatic qualification btw)
Euro 2004: QF
2006: final
2008: round 1: bottom
2010: play-off qualification

three decent performances out of five

Here's England:

Euro 2000: round 1: 3rd spot
2002: QF
Euro 2004: QF
2006: QF
2008: oops...
2010: Top spot in qualification

3 out of five...

With the sole exception of Euro 2000, which was nine and a half years ago, do you see anything that puts France as distinctly better than England, and regarded as the best side in the world for the past ten years?

Not really, on rank they do shade us over the years, and they got to one final and did actually qualify for 2008 - but on balance their poor performances in 2002 and 2008 (and indeed, 2009) match up quite well against our string of quarter finals, and no pundit worth their salt would regard France as a particularly good side right now - they have some good (understatement) players with Anelka and Henry, but it's well known the team is in a right state under Domenech and they struggle for players defensively

But let's compare ten years of Brazil

After finishing second to France in 98 what happened?

2001 Copa America: QF
2002 WC: Champions
2004 Copa America: Champions
2006 WC: QF (to France, ironically)
2007: Copa America: Champions
2010: qualification (as winners)

Ahem...no first round, goalless exits for them - five out of five

I admit that the Copa America is somewhat less competitive than the European championship, but what else can I go on? It's what the ranks use, and their world cup record is clearly better - as they actually won one in the past decade

Perhaps Norrish is foolishly thinking that France 98 was in the past decade? Well it wasn't, that team is gone (it was mostly gone by 2006) throughout almost the whole decade of the 'noughties' the sole significant achievement has been the appearance in the 2006 final

Let's look at Germany

2000: round 1 (bottom, below England...)
2002: final
2004: round 1...
2006: SF
2008: SF
2010: Qualified

three out of five

So, two poor showings - but across the past five years you can't say France have done better - any idea that they've been the best side across ten years is solely down to their victory all the way back in 2000, it's basically an average weighed down by a tournament that we've staged twice since

I am no fan of Italy, so:

2000: final
2002: round 2
2004: round 1 (on goal difference)
2006: Champions
2008: QF
2010: qualification

three out of five

I would dare say that Italy, on pure results alone, have done slightly better than France in the last ten years - two finals, one win (equal), only one first round exit, and a quarter-final, and a straightforward qualification this year - if you asked me about five years ago then yes, I'd say France have been a force for the past decade - it would include Euro 96, 98 and 2000 (this being known as their 'golden era'), but that is now ancient history

Spain, while having a decidedly dodgy patch in the middle also strung together a better run of results than France, with two quarter-finals, a first round and then second round exit, and of course, are now reigning European champions (three out of five)

Portugal, while never winning a trophy, have only really failed once in all these tournaments - 2002 was the only year where they haven't been in the top 8 (and they only failed to get to the semis once) and even in 2000 they were in the semis - if you want consistency over the past ten years then Portugal are just behind Brazil (four out of five)

So, do you see anything distinguishing them as any better than the top teams?

Here's my ranks:

Brazil - five consecutive decent showings, one World cup (+ countless others), more recent than France
Italy - three decent showings, one World cup, more recent than France
Spain - three decent showings, one European championship, more recent than France
Portugal - four decent showings, no trophies, but two semis and a final
France - three decent showings, one European championship, at the oldest tournament eligible
Germany - three decent showings, two semis and a final
England - three decent showings, all quarter finals
Netherlands - three decent showings, all regional however

So please, Mike Norrish - tell me what you base the assertion that the eighth favourite team to win the cup (@20/1) have been the best team of the last ten years on? I am intrigued

(the article is definitely 2009, not 2005...right?)

Tuesday, November 10, 2009

Week 12 Results

Villa 5-1 Bolton

Lawro: 2-0 = 1
Tarquin: 2-1 = 1

Blackburn 3-1 Pompey

Lawro: 1-1 = -1
Tarquin: 2-0 = 1.5

City 3-3 Burnley

Lawro: 2-0 = -1
Tarquin: 3-0 = -1

Spurs 2-0 Sunderland

Lawro: 3-1 = 1.5
Tarquin: 2-1 = 1

Wolves 1-4 Arsenal

Lawro: 0-2 = 1
Tarquin: 0-2 = 1

Hull 2-1 Stoke

Lawro: 1-1 = -1
Tarquin: 1-0 = 1.5

West Ham 1-2 Everton

Lawro: 0-2 = 1
Tarquin: 0-0 = -1

Wigan 1-1 Fulham

Lawro: 2-1 = -1
Tarquin: 2-0 = -1

Chelsea 1-0 United

Lawro: 2-1  = 1.5
Tarquin: 2-1 = 1.5

Lawro = 2 points
Tarquin = 4.5 points

Lawro got 5 right, no perfects
Tarquin got 6 right, no perfects


Standings:

12 weeks played, 115 matches
7-5 to Tarquin

Lawro - 60 right, 13 perfects - 36 points
Tarquin - 61 right, 10 perfects - 36 points

Friday, November 6, 2009

Beat Lawro 12




Just a quickie this week as I'm laid up

Villa v Bolton

Lawro: 2-0
Tarquin: 2-1

Blackburn v Pompey

Lawro: 1-1
Tarquin: 2-0

City v Burnley

Even City, going for their 5th straight league draw, should decimate Burnley

Lawro: 2-0
Tarquin: 3-0

Spurs v Sunderland

I think Bent will score at White Hart Lane,  first time for everything

Lawro: 3-1
Tarquin: 2-1

Wolves v Arsenal

Arsenal haven't exactly covered themselves in glory on the road this year, but I think they'll handle  Wolves

Lawro: 0-2
Tarquin: 0-2

Hull v Stoke

I'm going to stick my neck out and go for a home win

Lawro: 1-1
Tarquin: 1-0

West Ham v Everton

Where are the goals going to come from? Cole is injured, Everton are getting a few players back but just got whooped in Europe

Lawro: 0-2
Tarquin: 0-0

Wigan v Fulham

Unpredictable, but I think Fulham will be tired from mid-week, and they don't travel well

Lawro: 2-1
Tarquin: 2-0

Chelsea v United

I've got to back Chelsea - they're a much stronger side and at home there's no stopping them, but anything can happen

Lawro: 2-1
Tarquin: 2-1

What? No Liverpool? - I say 3-1

Monday, November 2, 2009

Week 11 Results

Arsenal 3-0 Tottenham


Lawro: 2-0 = 1
Tarquin: 2-0 = 1



Bolton 0-4 Chelsea


Lawro: 0-2 = 1
Tarquin: 0-2 = 1


Burnley 2-0 Hull

Lawro: 1-1 = -1
Tarquin: 1-0 = 1


Everton 1-1 Aston Villa

Lawro: 1-1 = 3
Tarquin: 0-1 = -1


Fulham 3-1 Liverpool

Lawro: 1-2 = -1
Tarquin: 1-1 = -1


Manchester United v Blackburn (1730 GMT)
 
Lawro: 4-0 = 1
Tarquin: 2-0 = 3


Portsmouth 4-0 Wigan


Lawro: 2-1 = 1
Tarquin: 1-2 = -1


Stoke 2-2 Wolves
 
Lawro: 2-1 = -1
Tarquin: 2-0 = -1


Sunderland 2-2 West Ham

Lawro: 0-0 = 2
Tarquin: 2-0 = -1



Birmingham 0-0 Manchester City


Lawro: 0-2 = -1
Tarquin: 1-2 = -1


Lawro got 6 results right, one perfect score = 5 points

Tarquin 4 results right, one perfect score = 0 points


Standings:



11 weeks played, 106 matches
6-5 to Tarquin

Lawro - 55 right, 13 perfects - 34 points
Tarquin - 55 right, 10 perfects - 31.5 points