Statistical blips - Lawro was lucky

Tipping rule #1 - don't get cocky

Lawro managed to beat me last week and overtake me to boot - despite me winning the first two weeks, but never fear - a point is not much

Standings as at Round 4:

Lawro 14, 3 perfect - 7.5 pts
Tarquin 13, 3 perfect - 6.5 pts

*Out of 26 played

Anyway, onwards:

Chelsea v Burnley

Burnley are doing great - but do you really think they're going to Stamford Bridge and winning? They've won two at home, and home form is what they need, they won't be doing over teams on the road (watch me eat my words...)

Lawro: 2-0
Tarquin: 3-0

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Blackburn v West Ham

I care, so much - If you didn't know West Ham did actually win that fight 3-1, but not that it matters, it's all about going to Blackburn and I doubt the Hammers have much to threaten the stoic Blackburn side...boring

Lawro: 2-1
Tarquin 1-0

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Bolton v Liverpool

Liverpool have already matched last year's defeats, and they're definitely a weaker side without Alonso - and in that way Rafa is looking as bad as Wenger, but he's always been useless at admitting his flaws...but anyway, I digress as always - I think Liverpool still have a chance at this league thing - why? Because losing a few games to good sides is better than drawing with lower teams, if they keep the pressure on sides like Bolton they'll win and be matching Chelsea and United - look at last year, whooped United and the rest of the top 6 and they still fall four points short - meanwhile United give 6 points to the Scousers and top the table - why? Because they didn't draw for 5 months...

Oh yeah...Liverpool to win, that was my roundabout way of agreeing with Lawro

Lawro: 0-2
Tarquin: ditto

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Stoke v Sunderland

Sunderland have improved since last year, they actually have tactics now - but do I expect them to go the Brittania and do anything? Not really, Stoke are still solid at home (and yet they buy Robert Huth??) and should win

Lawro: 1-1
Tarquin: 2-1

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Tottenham v Birmingham

God love Tottenham fans, only ever focus on the short-term - 3 wins and they actually think they're in Europe (when clubs like Sunderland say it it's a joke, the yids are deadly serious) - this will be win number 4, I look forward to United's visit in two weeks (actually I hope United will still have not found their feet)

Lawro: 3-1
Tarquin: 3-0

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Wolves v Hull

Hull do always enjoy an away trip, and they don't seem to be the side that collapsed last season, while Wolves have only managed an away win over Wigan so far - oh, I can't call it, could go either way, we need more draws

Lawro: 2-1
Tarquin: 1-1

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Man Utd v Arsenal (1715 KO)

Draw.

Sorry to agree with Lawro - but I do make my mind up before I even look at his predictions (I use 'I know the Score' first)

Lawro: 1-1
Tarquin: 1-1

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SUNDAY

Portsmouth v Man City

Who exactly will be scoring for Pompey? Tommy Smith? Another Championship striker (seriously, go buy him now, he'll get a hat-trick!) meanwhile they sell their best defender to Everton and they have a worse line-up than Burnley, who at least have a balanced team unit. The jury is still out on City, but they've shown that having enough big names on the pitch provides chances, and I doubt if Pompey will be the team to really test them

Verdict: 1-2
Tarquin: 0-2

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Everton v Wigan

Surely this must be Everton's first win? - Moyes must have kicked them up the arse by now, and Lescott is now gone, it's clean break time and Wigan at home is perfect, Wigan started brightly against Villa but have since dipped - perhaps we will see if Martinez only likes it on the road.

Lawro: 2-0
Tarquin 1-0

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Aston Villa v Fulham (1600 KO)

Villa pulled off a stunner against Liverpool and showed the class they are capable of - their problem is going to be doing it regularly, well at least Europe is over with for them - on the one hand they were at home and won, while Fulham went away and lost (and yet Villa get knocked out, Fulham go through...freaky) so they'll be slightly fresher, but possibly on a downer

It could be a lethal performance or it could be tepid, Villa aren't usually great at home so I'll stick to a 1-0 victory over a tired Fulham

Lawro: 2-1
Tarquin: 1-0

Well that was fun - Lawro and I only really disagreed on two games, so if Stoke win and Wolves don't I'm happy - it's just a question of who lucks out with perfect scores

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