Friday, October 30, 2009

Beat Lawro Week 11




Standings:
 
10 weeks played, 96 matches
6-4 to Tarquin

Lawro - 49 right, 12 perfects - 29 points
Tarquin - 51 right, 9 perfects - 31.5 points


Well, last week was an unmitigated disaster, but we were hardly alone as only a handful of results weren't upsets, away we go:

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Arsenal v Tottenham
Arsenal v Tottenham (1245 GMT)

Can't see beyond an Arsenal victory here, at least on paper - with key players out for Spurs and their form dipping, but it's a local derby so I think the odds of 8/13 for a home win are a little short


Lawro: 2-0
Tarquin: 2-0


Bolton v Chelsea
Bolton v Chelsea

Chelsea have lost two away games on the trot, and have smashed everyone at home, so there's obviously some difficulty on the road right now, particularly at the back. Bolton lost 4-0 at Stamford bridge this week, but the reverse will be tighter I think - Chelsea have got to be favourites, but definitely room for an upset


Lawro: 0-2
Tarquin: 0-2


Burnley v Hull
Burnley v Hull

Burnley finally ended their impressive home run last week - they need to pick it back up now and defeat a fellow relegation hopeful in this six-pointer, a draw would help no-one, so I'm tempted to back it, but I think Burnley can pull out a performance to beat Hull

Lawro: 1-1
Tarquin: 1-0


Everton v Aston Villa
Everton v Aston Villa

Whinge, whinge, whinge - that's what Moyes and Neville have been doing all week - 'too many games in a week', well I say they know the way it works and that you need a big squad to contest three tournaments at once - their main bone of contention was having to play Spurs on a Tuesday because of Arsenal being televised, but really, this stuff is par for the course and they are suffering from injuries, while Villa look the better side with a solid defence and on the counter-attack they should take apart Everton - an unpredictable game, but I think Villa are the best choice


Lawro: 1-1
Tarquin: 0-1


Fulham v Liverpool
Fulham v Liverpool

Can I just point out that while Lawro is bigging up Liverpool's result last week, he actually said they'd draw. Speaking of draws, Liverpool haven't had one yet, and this should be a tight affair

Lawro: 1-2
Tarquin: 1-1


Man Utd v Blackburn
Manchester United v Blackburn (1730 GMT)

United, you know it, they should just have too much for Blackburn - but why is Lawro suddenly breaking his record and going for four? Blackburn won't be pushovers and how fit is Rooney? They'll win, but they won't rip them apart

Lawro: 4-0
Tarquin: 2-0


Portsmouth v Wigan
Portsmouth v Wigan

Wigan are a bit all over the place, but last week they took on Burnley and played well to win 3-1, they take their chances against Pompey then they can win there too, Pompey may be committed but they don't stand a chance if the opposition brings it to them, but the bottom-placed could really do with a result here, the next three games look rather nasty


Lawro: 2-1
Tarquin: 1-2


Stoke v Wolves
Stoke v Wolves

I just can't see Wolves breaking down Stoke, nor can I see them stopping Stoke scoring a few

Lawro: 2-1
Tarquin: 2-0


Sunderland v West Ham
Sunderland v West Ham

One had a dip in form, the other a rise in form, last week, so that makes this game slightly more interesting than it might have been - but this is a return to home for the Black Cats, where they have taken on all comers (except Chelsea) and an away trip for West Ham, where they are pretty rubbish, so unless the Hammers really have it up 'em then my money is on a Sunderland win (literally)

Lawro: 0-0
Tarquin: 2-0


Birmingham v Man City
SUNDAY
Birmingham v Manchester City

One of the trickiest ones this week I think, City have drawn the last three on the trot and don't seem to have that cutting edge finish at the moment, and Birmingham are pretty tough at home, but I'm going to give Hughes' boys the benefit of the doubt


Lawro: 0-2
Tarquin: 1-2

Sunday, October 25, 2009

Week 10 results - not good

Oh dear, everybody did awful this week - so assume we got it wrong unless otherwise said


Wolves 1-1 Aston Villa

1-2
Lawro: 2-1

Birmingham 2-1 Sunderland

1-1
Lawro: 1-1

Burnley 1-3 Wigan

1-0
Lawro: 2-1

Hull 0-0 Portsmouth

1-0
Lawro: 1-0 (what the hell is a 24-pointer?)

Tottenham 0-1 Stoke

3-0
Lawro: 2-0

Chelsea 5-0 Blackburn

2-0 = 1
Lawro: 3-0 = 1


Bolton 3-2 Everton

1-1
Lawro: 2-0 = 1

Liverpool 2-0 Manchester United

1-1
Lawro: 1-1

Manchester City 2-2 Fulham

2-1
Lawro: 2-0

West Ham 2-2 Arsenal

0-1
Lawro: 0-2

Tarquin got one right = -8
Lawro got two right = -6

Shameful..

Standings:


10 weeks played, 96 matches
6-4 to Tarquin

Lawro - 49 right, 12 perfects - 29 points
Tarquin - 51 right, 9 perfects - 31.5 points

Friday, October 23, 2009

Beat Lawro Week 10






Standings:


9 weeks played, 86 matches
6-3 to Tarquin

Lawro - 47 right, 12 perfects - 35 points
Tarquin - 50 right, 9 perfects - 39.5 points


Update: Now added Lawro's predictions


Wolves v Aston Villa

Considering Villa’s sturdy defence and counter-attacking football then I can only go for a Villa win here against Wolves rather shoddy back-line

1-2
Lawro: 2-1

Birmingham v Sunderland

My first instinct was a Sunderland win, considering their attacking prowess, but the best they’ve done on the road this season, since that first slim victory over Bolton, is a single draw, admittedly that was at Old Trafford, but still, against a pretty solid defence like Birmingham’s I think it will be tight

1-1
Lawro: 1-1

Burnley v Wigan

Might as well keep the faith in Burnley’s perfect home record

1-0
Lawro: 2-1

Hull v Portsmouth

Even the wildly unpredictable Hull have to be favourites here, though I wouldn’t bet on it

1-0
Lawro: 1-0 (what the hell is a 24-pointer?)

Tottenham v Stoke

Got to be a Spurs win, even without the suspended Defoe

3-0
Lawro: 2-0

Chelsea v Blackburn

Something’s gone a bit wrong at Chelsea – what a shame, I do hope it’s just not a blip under the latest superstar manager, but they remain undefeated at home – and collapsing defence and rubbish midfield or not, they still have enough quality to turn over ‘long-ball’ Blackburn, unless David Dunn actually is the messiah

2-0
Lawro: 3-0


Bolton v Everton

How entertaining this sounds… Bolton do like to put up a fight at home, and Everton remain unconvincing – I’ll go for a draw, though I had a dream last night that Matt Taylor got a hat-trick

1-1
Lawro: 2-0

Liverpool v Manchester United

Draw I mean, will Liverpool actually lose three league games in a row? Well, at least they’ve stopped that annoying drawing thing that crippled them the last few years, now they just lose…

But surely they have to bring it to this one – Rafa’s got to kick them in the arse, and no doubt if Stevie G and Torres are back they’ll provide something, and United are hardly world-beaters right now - and Rooney is likely to be out (so in short – all the big four look pretty ropey this season) – anyway, you can never call these, Liverpool might win, but yeah, still a draw

1-1
Lawro: 1-1

Manchester City v Fulham

The sort of home game where City will show us their true potential, they need to win if they have any real aspirations, and they should

2-1
Lawro: 2-0

West Ham v Arsenal

You may be able to pass a beach ball through Arsenal’s defence, and they may not travel well, but relegation hopefuls the Hammers haven’t won since opening day – yes, that’s even worse than Portsmouth, and only they and Pompey have failed to win more than one game – not the best prospects for beating Arsenal

0-1
Lawro: 0-2

Monday, October 19, 2009

Week 9 results






Aston Villa 2-1 Chelsea


Lawro: 1-1 = -1
Tarquin: 1-2 = -1



Arsenal 3-1 Birmingham


Lawro: 3-0 = 1
Tarquin: 4-0 = 1



Everton 1-1 Wolves


Lawro: 2-0 = -1
Tarquin: 1-0 = -1



Man Utd 2-1 Bolton


Lawro: 2-0 = 1
Tarquin: 1-0 = 1.5



Portsmouth 1-2 Tottenham
 
Lawro: 1-1 = -1
Tarquin: 1-2 = 3



Stoke 2-1 West Ham


Lawro: 2-1 = 3
Tarquin: 1-0 = 1.5



Sunderland 1-0 Liverpool


Lawro: 2-2 = -1
Tarquin: 1-1  = -1



Blackburn 3-2 Burnley


Lawro: 1-2 = -1
Tarquin: 1-0 = 1.5



Wigan 1-1 Man City


Lawro: 2-1 = -1
Tarquin: 0-1 = -1




Fulham v Hull City


Lawro: 2-0 = 3
Tarquin: 1-0 = 1

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Lawro got 4 right, with two perfect scores = 2 pts

Tarquin got 6 right, only one perfect score = 5.5 pts


 9 weeks played, 86 matches
6-3 to Tarquin

Lawro - 47 right, 12 perfects - 35 points
Tarquin - 50 right, 9 perfects - 39.5 points

Friday, October 16, 2009

Beat Lawro - week 9


Current Standings:


8 weeks played, 76 matches
5-3 to Tarquin

Lawro - 43 right, 10 perfects - 33 points
Tarquin - 44 right, 8 perfects - 34 points


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Aston Villa v Chelsea
Aston Villa v Chelsea
Tempting to go for the draw after an international break and Villa's defence is looking rather good right now, but I think Chelsea by a whisker


Lawro: 1-1
Tarquin: 1-2


Arsenal v Birmingham
Arsenal v Birmingham

Once again Arsenal are the shoe-in of the week, can't see Birmingham getting anything from this

Lawro: 3-0
Tarquin: 4-0


Everton v Wolves
Everton v Wolves

Can't see anything beyond a home win here, could be a bit stodgy though with Everton's busy line-up


Lawro: 2-0
Tarquin: 1-0


Man Utd v Bolton
Man Utd v Bolton


International break, a rested Rooney - things could get a little stressful for the red-faced one, Bolton are a tough side and are scoring goals, but the smart money always has to go on United at home

Lawro: 2-0
Tarquin: 1-0


Portsmouth v Tottenham
Portsmouth v Tottenham

Portsmouth finally got a win last time - ruined my record, but I'm sticking with the plan - Spurs may not be all that on the road but I just don't think Pompey can handle a decent attacking side with those players, it's all about the Spurs side that shows up really, I don't expect the current south coast team to get a huge lift from the return of 'Arry, I may be wrong...

Lawro: 1-1
Tarquin: 1-2


Stoke City v West Ham
Stoke v West Ham

West Ham don't travel at the best of times, I don't see why that would change at the Britannia

Lawro: 2-1
Tarquin: 1-0


Sunderland v Liverpool
Sunderland v Liverpool

Could go either way here, and Liverpool will be without their dynamic duo so a Sunderland win looks reasonable - but Liverpool can pull anything out of the bag when they want, they got some of their best results without them last season so anything's possible here - hedging on a draw

Lawro: 2-2
Tarquin: 1-1 


SUNDAY
Blackburn v Burnley
Blackburn v Burnley

Northwest derby or not, I don't think Burnley will bring their home defence, but I don't think this will be an easy game, either

Lawro: 1-2
Tarquin: 1-0


Wigan v Man City
Wigan v Man City

Lots of pros and cons here, I'm not convinced enough by Wigan to go for a home victory, so I'm going for a very slight City win, although I'm tempted by the draw

Lawro: 2-1
Tarquin; 0-1



Fulham v Hull City
Fulham v Hull City

Fulham are still good at home, honest - they were very unlucky against Arsenal, but if they play like that against Hull they should win - but it's the Tigers, so anything could happen


Lawro: 2-0
Tarquin: 1-0

Monday, October 5, 2009

Beat Lawro - number eight results

Bolton 2-2 Tottenham

Lawro: 1-1 = 2pts
Tarquin: 1-1 = 2pts



Burnley 2-1 Birmingham

Lawo: 2-1 = 3pts

Tarquin: 2-0 = 1pt


Hull 2-1 Wigan
 
Lawro: 2-1 = 3pts
Tarquin: 1-1 = -1pt


Wolves 0-1 Portsmouth

Lawro: 1-1 = -1pt
Tarquin: 2-1 = -1pt


Manchester United 2-2 Sunderland
 
Lawro: 2-0 = -1pt
Tarquin: 2-1 = -1pt


Arsenal 6-2 Blackburn

Lawro: 3-0 = 1pt
Tarquin: 4-0 = 1.5pts


Everton 1-1 Stoke
 
Lawro: 2-0 = -1pt
Tarquin: 2-0 = -1pt


West Ham 2-2 Fulham
 
Lawro: 2-1 = -1
Tarquin: 1-0  = -1


Chelsea 2-0 Liverpool

Lawro: 1-1 = -1pt
Tarquin: 1-1 = -1pt


Aston Villa 1-1 Manchester City

Lawro: 1-1 = 3pts
Tarquin: 1-1 = 3pts



Lawro got 5 right, with three perfect scores = 7 pts

Tarquin got 4 right, only one perfect score = 1.5 pts


D'oh...


8 weeks played, 76 matches
5-3 to Tarquin

Lawro - 43 right, 10 perfects - 33 points
Tarquin - 44 right, 8 perfects - 34 points

Friday, October 2, 2009

Beat Lawro - number eight




Current Standings:


7 weeks played, 66 matches
5-2 to Tarquin

Lawro - 38 right, 7 perfects - 26 points
Tarquin - 40 right, 7 perfects - 32.5 points


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Bolton v Tottenham

Bolton v Tottenham

We have had four draws out of 66 games - virtually one in every two gameweeks - we're due a couple - I think this, considering Tottenham's away performances and Bolton's efforts (why is there still Megson hate?), will be one of them

Lawro: 1-1
Tarquin: 1-1

Burnley v Birmingham

Burnley v Birmingham

I don't think Burnley's home form can hold up all season, they will tire and teams will adjust, they don't have the strength of Stoke or Fulham last season, but they will beat Birmingham, who won't provide a threat on goal

Lawo: 2-1
Tarquin: 2-0

Hull v Wigan

Hull v Wigan

Difficult to call, but despite that Hull are my second most successful team, shame about Wigan - I had Bramble on the bench! Stupid lazy millionaires... oh, I'm going for a draw

Lawro: 2-1
Tarquin: 1-1

Wolves v Portsmouth

Wolves v Portsmouth

You've got to say Pompey deserved something last week, and they have to get points at some point - although their team remains incredibly weak, and I'm not sure if they can achieve any sort of consistency without many premier league-quality players - If it ain't broke, don't fix it, I say - Wolves win

Lawro: 1-1
Tarquin: 2-1

Man Utd v Sunderland

Manchester United v Sunderland

Is it just me or is Ryan Giggs the only thing saving United right now? Great for him - but how long can a 35-year old last? He's already shined in three games on the trot, the man must be tiring - he's some sort of god if not. Rooney is the only other main weapon in attack - Nani and Valencia are not looking brilliant, so it's basically down to one reliable player in Rooney, two old masters in Giggs and Scholes, and occasionally Carrick - doesn't bode well for the new year in my book, but this game I can see little else but a United win. Sunderland could produce something, but it's an outside chance, and no doubt if they're winning expect an equaliser a week later

Lawro: 2-0
Tarquin: 2-1


Arsenal v Blackburn
Arsenal v Blackburn

Arsenal - with allegations of bullying thrown in.

Did you know Arsenal have won every home game so far with four goals, and the only win where they didn't score four or more was at Fulham

Lawro: 3-0
Tarquin: 4-0

Everton v Stoke

Everton v Stoke

Everton have strikers now?? Blimey, well they're over their usual sluggish start, so I fully expect an Everton goal or two
 

Lawro: 2-0
Tarquin: 2-0

West Ham v Fulham

West Ham v Fulham

Tricky, Fulham were a match for Arsenal last week and didn't deserve to lose, but their away form is still questionable, meanwhile the Hammers have yet to win at home (ok, it was Tottenham and Liverpool) - I would think this'll be their first three home points

Lawro: 2-1
Tarquin: 1-0

Chelsea v Liverpool

Chelsea v Liverpool

Well, at least Lawro isn't a complete idiot - the odds are always in favour of a draw in these games - doesn't mean it won't be a whitewash, just that it's the best choice. Presumably the Chelsea defence won't do a Wigan and I think they'll be very much up for this, maybe Liverpool will be too after that midweek game?



Lawro: 1-1
Tarquin: 1-1


Aston Villa v Man City
Aston Villa v Manchester City

Oh joy, do you know the odds for this one? Villa 7/4, City 7/4...

Guess I'm going for a draw again

Lawro: 1-1
Tarquin: 1-1




Oh, wonderful - we disagree on two games! But it's not too bad I guess as we only totally agree on four, actually better than last week